Hostfully Hosting & Travel Index
August 2026 Edition
Updated August 1, 2026
Hosting & Travel Index

The weather report for your vacation rental business

August 2026 Edition

We crunch seven real-time data signals (Hostfully booking data, TSA traffic, Google search trends, gas prices, lodging costs, consumer sentiment, and national weather) into one monthly score so you can spot what's coming before your competitors do. See how we calculate it ↓

0
Getaway Score
β›… Partly Cloudy
+1.0 MoM -6.5 YoY
πŸ“Š The Six Signals That Drive the Score
✈️ TSA Throughput
82
πŸ” Search Trends
74
β›½ Gas Prices
48
πŸ’° Lodging CPI
62
😊 Sentiment
58
🌀️ Weather
62
Strongest: TSA (82) & Trends (74) Weakest: Gas (48) & Sentiment (58)
πŸ“ˆ Getaway Score: 17-Month Trend
β˜€οΈ Top 3 Sunniest Markets
1
Cape Cod, MA
Peak Northeast summer, sub-$4 gas early July
83.5 +6.0
2
Bar Harbor, ME
Acadia + coastal Maine peak season
82.5 +5.0
3
Myrtle Beach, SC
Drive-market holding as hurricane peak nears
82.0 +0.0
β›ˆοΈ Bottom 3 Stormiest Markets
1
Phoenix, AZ
Extreme heat wave throttles August demand
33.5 -14.5
2
Detroit, MI
Still off the summer travel map
34.0 +1.0
3
Cleveland, OH
Modest lift on late-summer sentiment
36.0 +1.0
πŸ—ΊοΈ Regional Ranking by Score
Southeast
76.0
Northeast
65.0
West
58.0
Mountain
57.0
Midwest
50.0
Data from Hostfully, TSA, Google Trends, EIA, FRED, NOAA · Powered by Hostfully
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August 2026: Getaway Score 64.5 β›… (Partly Cloudy, +1.0 MoM) AAA delivers record 72.2M July 4 travelers, TSA logs 18.7M over holiday week Gas whipsaws from $3.80 (Jul 5) to $4.09 (Jul 23) on Iran flare-up UMich July final sentiment 55.2, five-month high (+11.5% MoM) CPI cools to 3.5% YoY in June, biggest drop since April 2020 Peak hurricane season Aug-Oct begins, ACE still below normal
0
Getaway Score
Partly Cloudy β›… (+1.0 MoM)
0
July 4 Travelers (AAA)
Delivered, TSA 18.7M holiday week
0
Avg Gas Price / Gallon
Back over $4 on Iran flare-up
0
Consumer Sentiment
Five-month high (+11.5% MoM, UMich)

Where the Sun Is Shining

Hover each region to see its Getaway Score, condition, and which states are included.

Southeast
0
🌀️ Partly Sunny
Northeast
0
🌀️ Partly Sunny
West
0
β›… Partly Cloudy
Mountain
0
β›… Partly Cloudy
Midwest
0
β›… Partly Cloudy

The City-Level Picture

Which markets are hot, which are not, and who moved the most this month.

β˜€οΈ Where the Sun Shines Brightest

The five highest-scoring cities this month

β›ˆοΈ Storm Watch

The five markets still weathering the chill

πŸš€ Movers and Shakers

The biggest monthly swings, up and down

What's Driving the Forecast

Six data signals combine to produce the Getaway Score. Here's how each one is trending this month.

TSA Throughput
Temperature: Demand Heat
88/100
Record spring travel: 2.8M passengers/day, 4% above 2025. All-time spring break highs.
Gas Prices
Wind Speed: Travel Friction
8/100
$3.64/gal average, up 25% MoM. Worst monthly gas spike since 2022. Major travel friction from Iran conflict.
CPI Lodging
Barometric Pressure: Pricing Power
74/100
Lodging CPI moderating, hotel prices -2.2% YoY. Good pricing environment for STRs.
Consumer Sentiment
Humidity: Spending Willingness
8/100
Crashed to 53.3. -5.8% MoM. Expectations -8.7%. Inflation fears surging to 3.8%.
Actual Weather
Actual Weather: Travel Conditions
55/100
Spring warmth in the South boosting travel. Mixed conditions in the North.

40-Month Forecast History

The Getaway Score from January 2023 to August 2026. Summers shine, winters test resilience.

The Crosswinds: From July to August, the Score Ticks Up 1.0 Point

A signal-by-signal look at why the Getaway Score edged from 63.5 to 64.5. Sentiment and CPI keep improving; gas whipsawed back over $4 and peak hurricane season is here.

😊 Consumer Sentiment +30 pts

UMich July final hit 55.2, a five-month high and up 11.5% from June. Improvements were broad-based across every income, education, and party group. One-year inflation expectations eased from 4.6% to 4.2%. Still 10.5% below July 2025.

β›½ Gas Prices -17 pts

National average dropped to $3.80 by July 5, then reversed hard: AAA reported a 15-cent one-week jump to $4.09 on July 23 as Middle East tensions flared again. Most states are now averaging $4 or higher heading into peak August travel.

✈️ TSA Throughput +4 pts

TSA screened nearly 18.7 million travelers over the July 4 window (June 30 to July 6) with July 2 nearly hitting 3 million. AAA confirmed a record 72.2M Americans traveled 50+ miles for the holiday, beating last year's 71.8M.

🌀️ Weather -8 pts

Peak hurricane season (August through October) is officially here. NOAA still calls for a below-normal Atlantic season and ACE is running well under median, but seasonal risk climbs sharply this month. Southwest heat dome pounded Phoenix and Vegas.

πŸ” Search Trends -4 pts

Post-July 4 cooldown as the summer booking window closes. Labor Day weekend queries are picking up, and fall foliage searches for New England and the Blue Ridge Parkway are running above last year's pace. Northeast is the new hotspot.

🏠 Hostfully Data +5 pts

Booking pace holds for late summer and early fall, with Northeast and Mountain markets pacing strongest. Homeowner reporting cycles run heavy this month; operators using automated statements are cutting an average of three hours per property.

πŸ’° Lodging CPI +27 pts

June CPI cooled sharply to 3.5% YoY from 4.2% in May, the largest monthly drop since April 2020. Headline prices fell 0.4% MoM as gasoline dropped 9.7% and energy overall dropped 5.7%. Airfares are still 26.7% higher than a year ago, but the direction has turned.

πŸ“Š The Bottom Line

The Crosswinds. Sentiment and CPI keep improving, and July 4 delivered a record. But gas whipsawed 15 cents higher in one week on renewed Iran tensions, and peak hurricane season begins now. The net is still positive, but summer's second half is more mixed than the first.

πŸš€ Navigate the Crosswinds With Hostfully

Peak August, peak hurricane season, and a gas whipsaw all landing at once. Hostfully brings bookings, channels, guest comms, and homeowner reporting into one place so you can react fast when the wind shifts.

See Hostfully in Action

This Month, In a Nutshell

The headline insights from this month's index, ready to share.

✈️

The Crosswinds: The Getaway Score edged up 1.0 point to 64.5 in August. Sentiment and CPI keep improving, but gas whipsawed back over $4 on Iran tensions and peak hurricane season begins. Net positive, but summer's second half is bumpier than the first.

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β›½

The gas whipsaw. Prices bottomed at $3.80 on July 5 and jumped 15 cents in one week to $4.09 by July 23 as Middle East tensions re-escalated. Most states now average $4 or higher heading into peak August. Drive markets face a choppier setup than a month ago.

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πŸ“Š

Peak hurricane season starts now. August through October is when 90% of Atlantic activity happens. ACE is still well below normal and NOAA sees a below-normal season overall, but seasonal risk climbs sharply. Southeast and Gulf operators should watch pacing weekly.

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🌴

CPI relief finally arrives. Headline June CPI dropped to 3.5% YoY from 4.2% in May, the biggest monthly drop since April 2020. Energy fell 5.7% MoM and gasoline dropped 9.7%. Airfares are still up 26.7% YoY, but the direction has turned for the first time all year.

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How We Build the Forecast

Transparent, reproducible, and built on real data you can trust.

Data Signal What It Measures Source
Hostfully Data Booking volume, occupancy rates, and ADR trends across Hostfully-managed properties Hostfully
TSA Throughput Daily airport passengers (travel demand) TSA
Google Trends Search interest for vacation rentals, Airbnb, beach house Google Trends
Gas Prices Average U.S. gas price per gallon (travel friction) EIA
CPI Lodging Lodging price index (pricing power) FRED
Consumer Sentiment University of Michigan index (spending willingness) FRED
Weather National weather favorability for travel NOAA

Conditions: 0-30 = Stormy β›ˆοΈ | 30-50 = Cloudy ☁️ | 50-65 = Partly Cloudy β›… | 65-80 = Partly Sunny 🌀️ | 80-100 = Sunny β˜€οΈ

The Hostfully Hosting & Travel Index uses publicly available data plus proprietary Hostfully platform insights so you get the full picture.

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