Hosting & Travel Index
The weather report for your vacation rental business
We crunch seven real-time data signals (Hostfully booking data, TSA traffic, Google search trends, gas prices, lodging costs, consumer sentiment, and national weather) into one monthly score so you can spot what's coming before your competitors do. See how we calculate it ↓
Where the Sun Is Shining
Hover each region to see its Getaway Score, condition, and which states are included.
The City-Level Picture
Which markets are hot, which are not, and who moved the most this month.
☀️ Where the Sun Shines Brightest
The five highest-scoring cities this month
⛈️ Storm Watch
The five markets still weathering the chill
🚀 Movers and Shakers
The biggest monthly swings, up and down
What's Driving the Forecast
Six data signals combine to produce the Getaway Score. Here's how each one is trending this month.
40-Month Forecast History
The Getaway Score from January 2023 to June 2026. Summers shine, winters test resilience.
From May to June: The Score Recovered 5.2 Points
A signal-by-signal look at why the Getaway Score moved from 44.0 to 49.2.
Hit 44.8 in May (third straight drop), a NEW all-time low for the University of Michigan survey. Long-run inflation expectations climbed to 3.9%, a 7-month high.
Peaked at $4.56 mid-May, then eased 12 cents to $4.36 by month-end as Iran ceasefire optimism dropped Brent crude 20% from the peak. Still $1.38 above last Memorial Day.
Week of May 4-10 hit roughly 17M passengers, near 2025 levels. Memorial Day delivered 45M+ travelers per AAA, 87% by car. Volume holds but YoY comps are tougher.
May logged 278+ preliminary tornadoes, but the bigger news is forward-looking: NOAA forecasts a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season (55% probability) thanks to expected El Niño conditions.
Summer search wave is here. Memorial Day, beach house, and national parks queries all surged through May. Drive-market destinations leading the queue.
Industry RevPAR pacing +8% YoY in April per Key Data, but the lift is rate-driven; AirDNA shows demand essentially flat. The market is maturing from growth mode to optimization mode.
April CPI ran hot: lodging away from home +2.4% MoM, airline fares +2.8%, energy +3.8%. Pricing power exists, but guests are noticing.
A fragile turn. Five signals improved (weather forecast, gas, trends, sentiment slowed its slide, TSA held), and only two worsened. The summer setup is better than the storm headlines suggest, but a new record-low sentiment reading keeps this firmly Cloudy.
This Month, In a Nutshell
The headline insights from this month's index, ready to share.
A Fragile Turn: Consumer sentiment fell again to 44.8 in May, a NEW record low and the third straight monthly decline per the University of Michigan. Yet Memorial Day delivered 45M+ travelers and the index ticked up. Americans keep traveling, even when the mood says otherwise.
Copy to shareHurricane season just got friendlier. NOAA forecasts a below-normal 2026 Atlantic season (55% probability), with 8-14 named storms and only 1-3 majors. Florida, Carolina, and Gulf Coast operators have an opening to lean into summer pricing with confidence.
Copy to shareGas peaked, then eased. The national average hit $4.56 mid-May before falling to $4.36 as Brent crude dropped 20% from the peak on Iran ceasefire optimism. Drive markets within 3 hours of a major metro have a real summer opening.
Copy to shareRate-driven, not demand-driven. Industry RevPAR is pacing +8% YoY in April per Key Data, but AirDNA shows demand essentially flat. Growth is coming from rate strategy, not new guests. Markets with growing supply face the toughest math.
Copy to shareHow We Build the Forecast
Transparent, reproducible, and built on real data you can trust.
| Data Signal | What It Measures | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Hostfully Data | Booking volume, occupancy rates, and ADR trends across Hostfully-managed properties | Hostfully |
| TSA Throughput | Daily airport passengers (travel demand) | TSA |
| Google Trends | Search interest for vacation rentals, Airbnb, beach house | Google Trends |
| Gas Prices | Average U.S. gas price per gallon (travel friction) | EIA |
| CPI Lodging | Lodging price index (pricing power) | FRED |
| Consumer Sentiment | University of Michigan index (spending willingness) | FRED |
| Weather | National weather favorability for travel | NOAA |
Conditions: 0-30 = Stormy ⛈️ | 30-50 = Cloudy ☁️ | 50-65 = Partly Cloudy ⛅ | 65-80 = Partly Sunny 🌤️ | 80-100 = Sunny ☀️
The Hostfully Hosting & Travel Index uses publicly available data plus proprietary Hostfully platform insights so you get the full picture.